Showing posts with label New York. Show all posts
Showing posts with label New York. Show all posts

Monday, March 22, 2021

MANHATTAN DA | Liz Crotty on June 22

Liz Crotty for DA, June 22
The Democratic Primary in New York is on June 22. This primary will determine who will be on the Democratic line in November.

One of the positions up for a vote is Manhattan District Attorney. The incumbent, Cy Vance, has announced he is not going to run again. He has his hands full finishing up some high-profile cases.

This post is an endorsement of a candidate for the Manhattan DA nomination, Liz Crotty.

I am posting this endorsement for two reasons. 


First, I attended the endorsement meeting of my local club and I was not given an opportunity to vote. I still don’t understand how that happened. But it means I am a free agent here, which is a good thing, because I strongly support Liz Crotty.


Second, I have known Liz for many years and I think highly of her. She grew up in Stuyvesant Town, an egalitarian complex on the east side of Manhattan near Baruch College, where I used to be an assistant professor of finance. She is the centrist in this primary and I wish we had more candidates who were prepared to take that stance.


I got to know New York City pretty well in the mid-1970s through the mid-2000s as a finance professor, then the CEO of an urban-policy think tank, and then chief economist for three New York City Comptrollers. Liz Crotty grew up during that period in New York City, and she knows how big an impact crime and civil unrest had on the city during that period. Liz says she experienced the scare of having to run into a Safe Haven Program store. She had to escape predatory men. Someone she knew was the victim of a stabbing.


She graduated from Fordham Law School, and in 2000, she began her six-year career at the Manhattan District Attorney’s Office when Robert Morgenthau was Manhattan DA, until 2009.


I am a fan of the Morgenthaus, father Henry and son Robert. My Dad was hired by Henry Morgenthau, Jr. via a competitive civil service exam he took in 1933. Thousands of candidates took the test, and Morgenthau hired just three hundred for the Farm Credit Administration. Morgenthau was put in charge of that agency instead of being in the cabinet as Secretary of Agriculture, because the farm lobby objected to having someone Jewish like Morgenthau heading the agency. Instead, in 1934 FDR appointed Henry Morgenthau Jr. to the position of Secretary of the Treasury (there were also objections to that appointment, but FDR by then was on a roll and paid less attention to complaints about his appointments). I am writing the biography of Henry Morgenthau’s predecessor as Secretary of the Treasury, Will Woodin.


In her six-year stint as an Assistant District Attorney, Liz served first in the Trial Division. She worked on more than three thousand cases altogether. Her Trial Division cases involved street crimes, attempted murder, kidnapping, assault, burglary, robbery, and drug sales, as well as complex crimes like forgery, grand larceny, identity theft, and money laundering. Liz was known for investigating and resolving matters—whether by trial or plea, before both judges and juries.


After serving more than four years in Trial (Bureau 70), Liz moved into the Investigation Division, expanding her legal skills. For two years in the Investigation Division, Liz worked on complex white-collar cases on the local, national, and international levels.


After leaving the Manhattan DA’s Office, Liz worked in civil law on complex international investigations and litigations, involving aviation litigation, wrongful death, negligence, and product liability.


Liz started her own criminal-law firm twelve years ago. She and her partner built a law firm that, represents people throughout New York City and around the world, to help them receive justice. Liz represents people on crimes ranging from grand larceny, fraud, assault to rape, DWI, and weapons possession. A zealous advocate who fights aggressively for her clients, Liz is also well reasoned, approachable and personable.


She can see ways to make the District Attorney’s Office perform better. However, she understands the only way to improve the office is with a practical plan. Her plan starts with ensuring the office is prioritizing every New Yorker’s hope for public safety, because each neighborhood and community needs to feel that the District Attorney’s Office is tackling their concerns. That means it must be responsive to every community in Manhattan, as well as working with the police to ensure they are protecting us with dignity and honor.


Liz is admitted to New York State Courts and the Federal Southern and Eastern Districts of the New York. She currently serves as a board member for the Manhattan District Attorney’s Association, a not-for-profit alumni organization of the Manhattan DA’s Office. In addition, she serves on the New York City Bar Association’s Judiciary Committee, evaluating judicial candidates for election. Most recently, she was a judicial delegate to the NYC Supreme Court judicial convention.


She is a trained Mediator, having completed the Mediation Training at the NY Peace Institute. In addition, she volunteers with the CFI Project, which assists recent immigrant arrivals requesting political asylum and prepares them for their credible fear interview. Liz is also a volunteer on the pro-bono panel in New York’s Southern District.


On June 22, or possibly before, I plan to vote for Liz Crotty for DA.

Tuesday, October 20, 2020

BALLOT TRACKING | Cry your eyes out, Putin

Cry your eyes out, Vladimir Putin.

Thanks to all the hacking four years ago, democracy is fighting back with tracking systems to rival Federal Express.

I was impressed with the tracking ability of the New York City Board of Elections, which allows ballots to be tracked online.

The Suffolk County, N.Y. Board of Elections has a similar ballot-tracking system that can be accessed by calling the Board.

A brief Google search shows similar ballot-tracking systems in place in California (for example, see https://gvwire.com/2020/08/05/new-website-allows-voters-to-track-their-ballot-registration/) and other states. This will be the best-tracked election ever. 

Sample tracking form, november 3 election
APPLICATION INFORMATION (New york city)
 

015491X7

 

P00XH3


TRACKING HISTORY
DateStatus
10/17/2020Ballot Received Valid
10/07/2020Ballot Received
10/06/2020Voter Mailed Ballot
09/30/2020Out for Delivery
09/29/2020Ballot Mailed
09/17/2020Application Approved
05/14/2020Application Submitted

For further assistance please call 1-866-VOTE-NYC or email AbsenteeHelp@boe.nyc

Monday, September 28, 2020

JOB LOSS | U.S. Metro Areas, July 2020

What metro areas are suffering most and least from job loss as of July 2020? 

Most loss: New York State. Three of the five metro areas suffering most from a loss of jobs over the last five years are in New York State. The New York City metro area lost 8.4 percent of its jobs between July 2015 and July 2020.

Least loss: Sunbelt Cities. Low-density sunbelt metro areas have had the least loss of jobs, like Austin, Texas; Phoenix, Arizona; Jacksonville, Florida; Salt Lake City, Utah; and Nashville-Davidson, Tennessee.

Were July Metro Jobs Higher than Five Years Ago? Most Were Lower.

Percent change in employment, 49 metro areas with Census 2010 population of 1 million or more, July 2020, not seasonally adjusted. Ranked by 5-year % change.

Metropolitan area

10 year

5 year

1 year

Rochester, NY

-7.8

-11.2

-13.0

New Orleans-Metairie, LA

-3.4

-11.1

-11.4

Buffalo-Cheektowaga-Niagara Falls, NY

-4.8

-9.0

-10.2

Cleveland-Elyria, OH

-3.6

-8.8

-11.9

New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA

0.3

-8.4

-13.6

Boston-Cambridge-Nashua, MA-NH NECTA

2.2

-6.9

-12.1

Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI

4.5

-6.7

-11.3

Pittsburgh, PA

-3.8

-6.4

-8.8

Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis, WI

-0.1

-5.8

-7.7

Providence-Warwick, RI-MA NECTA

0.9

-5.4

-8.2

Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, CT NECTA

-0.9

-5.3

-7.2

Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI

3.6

-5.0

-8.3

Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA

5.8

-4.0

-10.1

Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI

6.7

-3.7

-8.7

Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD

0.9

-3.3

-8.6

Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD

4.1

-3.2

-6.9

Memphis, TN-MS-AR

3.7

-2.5

-6.0

St. Louis, MO-IL

3.1

-2.4

-5.6

Columbus, OH

11.2

-2.3

-8.8

San Diego-Carlsbad, CA

9.2

-2.3

-9.7

San Francisco-Oakland-Hayward, CA

14.9

-2.2

-11.3

Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN

6.7

-1.8

-6.4

Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN

8.3

-1.7

-6.8

Richmond, VA

8.0

-1.6

-6.7

Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, NV

12.3

-1.2

-12.6

Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX

15.3

-1.0

-6

Birmingham-Hoover, AL

4.4

-0.9

-5.3

Kansas City, MO-KS

8.9

0.1

-4

Oklahoma City, OK

12

0.4

-3.5

Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL

15.2

0.5

-7.6

San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA

21.4

0.7

-8.2

Sacramento--Roseville--Arden-Arcade, CA

11.7

0.8

-8.9

Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA

15.3

1.1

-7.8

Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA

15.7

1.8

-8.2

Raleigh, NC

19

2.9

-8.4

Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN

15.2

3.0

-3.6

Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA

22.5

3.9

-9.4

San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX

20.5

4.0

-4.7

Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO

21.7

4.1

-5.6

Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL

21.6

4.2

-8.9

Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC

22.3

4.3

-7.0

Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA

18.8

4.9

-4.8

Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL

20.0

6.1

-4.2

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX

24.1

6.6

-4.0

Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN

28.9

6.9

-6.7

Salt Lake City, UT

23.0

7.2

-3.9

Jacksonville, FL

20.5

8.2

-3.5

Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, AZ

24.4

9.9

-3.5

Austin-Round Rock, TX

37.6

11.4

-4.0


Covid-19 has raised questions about the value of density, although the average wage of workers is linked to population or employment density. This has been tied to skill density, commonly defined as the share of the local population with a college degree. 

The "density is destiny" theory implies that the main effort of government officials seeking prosperity for their communities should be to attract, train and keep skilled workers. 

Agglomeration theory, as outlined by Rosenthal and Strange, encourages the idea that a dense city population means a high level of skills, which encourages work force productivity and higher average wages. This theory is based on the idea that people vote with their feet, as first described by Charles Tiebout in a 1956 article, by moving to places where there are more government-provided goods. These tend to be in certain parts of prosperous cities, with top-rated public schools. The same goes for clusters of local private goods, as demonstrated in a 2006 paper by Joel Waldfogel. Being near good restaurants is worth something, or it was before Covid-19 exploded.

The idea of agglomeration is linked to Adam Smith’s concept of quality skills requiring a critical mass of market size or extent: 
“As it is the power of exchanging that gives occasion to the division of labor, so the extent of this division must always be limited by… the extent of the market. When the market is very small, no person can have any encouragement to dedicate himself entirely to one employment… A country carpenter deals in every sort of work that is made of wood…” (Wealth of Nations, I:3)
A city’s size creates demand for high-quality specialized services, and the demand creates the supply of skills that attracts those who care about quality. 

What first determined a city’s size? Adam Smith noted the importance in his time of water transportation. He noted that European cities grew up because they could trade with one another in the sheltered harbor of the Mediterranean. He also noted that:.“[I]n our North American colonies the plantations have constantly followed either the sea-coast or the banks of the navigable rivers,” because water transportation was then the cheapest form of moving goods and people. 

Harvard Professor Edward Glaeser observes that in 1990 the 20 most populous U.S. cities were all on water. As railroads opened up the interior of the United States, railroad terminals became as important as ports. Manufacturing located near the terminals, so that as late as 1950 seven out of the eight largest cities, including New York, were manufacturing centers based on employment concentration relative to the nation. 

With the spread of national highways and car ownership, the railroads diminished in importance. People moved inland to sun and sprawl, to what Glaeser calls “consumption cities” designed for leisurely living. By 1990, manufacturing had decentralized (and shrunk), to the point where six of the eight largest U.S. cities had a lower-than-average share of manufacturing employment. City size is no longer being determined by the cheapness of water transportation, or the importance of railway terminals, or the existence of manufacturing.

All of these ideas will be subject to review as we rethink cities under the shadow of Covid-19. 

Notes
1. Agglomeration: S. S. Rosenthal and W. C. Strange, “Evidence on the Nature and Sources of Agglomeration Economies,” in J.V. Henderson and J.-F. Thisse, eds., Handbook of Urban and Regional Economics, Vol. 4. Amsterdam: Elsevier, 2004, 2119-2172.
2. Vote with Their Feet: Charles Tiebout, “A Pure Theory of Local Expenditures,” The Journal of Political Economy, 64(5) (Oct 1956), 416-424. 
3. Local Private Goods: Joel Waldfogel, Wharton School, Univ. of Pennsylvania, “The Median Voter and the Median Consumer: Local Private Goods and Residential Sorting,” Preliminary Draft, November 22, 2004, 25-26. Types of restaurants indicate nearby clientele.
4. Division of Labor Adam Smith, An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations. Edwin Cannan, ed. Book 1, Chapter 3, “That the Division of Labor is limited by the Extent of the Market,” para. 1. www.econlib.org/library/Smith/smWN.html,
5. Smith, Book 1, Chapter 3, para. 4. 
6. Remarks to the Manhattan Institute, New York City, January 10, 2006.