Sunday, November 26, 2017

GOP | Cleaning Up

National Review Continues to
Pillory the Imperial Trump Style.
New York City, November 26, 2017 – The current National Review cover shows a regal Donald Trump-like figure sitting on a on gilded hathi howdah (हाथी हौदा) atop a gilt-armored elephant.

I should explain that I have been receiving the National Review for the last few years courtesy of a subscriber who gets an extra subscription every December to send to someone who could use it. 

Proud indeed I am to be her Designated Democrat.

Back to the cover. Following behind the man on the golden hathi howdah are three men in black, carrying spades. Their faces bear the strong likenesses of three key non-family members of King Trump's inner circle.

This put me in mind of re-posting something I originally posted on November 9, 2008, after the election of Barack Obama.

Anyone reading this who is not a New Yorker or a circus follower should know that the elephants have reportedly made their last trip into New York City.

CLEANING UP GOP MESS 
HUFFINGTON POST



BY John Tepper Marlin

November 9, 2008 – In spring, the Ringling Brothers and Barnum & Bailey circus comes to New York City. A dozen-and-a-half elephants march through the Queens Midtown Tunnel in the early a.m. to report for circus duty at Madison Square Garden. 

Following them warily is a cadre of sanitation workers with shovels, a truck and water to clean up the mess the elephants leave behind.

2008-10-10-elephantwalk1.jpg
Elephants walk into New York City before dawn, followed
by men with shovels, and a truck with a flushing system.
And that’s what Ben Bernanke’s Fed is trying to do with the financial mess left by a series of GOP administrations that have 
- cut taxes on top earners while waging wars,
pumped up the national debt,
- increased U.S. fiscal dependence on foreign debt buyers.
dismantled bank regulations tracing back to 1913 and 1933,
- enabled dangerous financial transactions, while they have
- failed to regulate the shadow banking system.
So it’s fair that the percentage-point drops in the Dow translate to drops in voter support for GOP candidates on November 4, 2008. No wonder John McCain has made a lunge for the middle-class vote with his out-of-character and poorly conceived American Homeownership Resurgence Plan. 
The financial crisis of today has long been feared, Greg Ip noted in a Wall Street Journal blog 16 months ago
As an academic in the early 1980s, Mr. Bernanke pioneered the idea that the financial markets, rather than a neutral player in business cycles, could significantly amplify booms and busts. Widespread failures by banks could aggravate a downturn, as could a decline in creditworthiness by consumers or businesses, rendering them unable to borrow. Mr. Bernanke employed this “financial accelerator” theory to explain the extraordinary depth and duration of the Great Depression.
Even though bank weakness is less likely to hurt the economy today, given banks’ reduced importance as lenders, the financial accelerator is still relevant. That is because “nonbanks” — lenders, such as standalone mortgage companies, that don’t accept deposits — also “have to raise funds in order to lend, and the cost at which they raise those funds will depend on their financial condition — their net worth, their leverage, and their liquidity.”
Mr. Bernanke doesn’t say it, but the current crisis in the subprime mortgage market may be a perfect illustration of the financial accelerator at work today. Many subprime borrowers are facing bankruptcy because their net worth has collapsed and they can’t get new credit. Similarly, numerous subprime lenders have gone bankrupt because they could not get financing to continue operations from newly skeptical Wall Street lenders.
A prescient comment on this post pointed out that financial crises now have special potential for world-wide catastrophe because of the global reach of the U.S. financial system:
The serious mistakes of modern day economic analysis are to ignore the huge trade imbalance created by the globalization process. The huge trade deficit of US must flow back to US market and be lent to someone. As we know, lending generates more lending and who knows how many trillions this US trade deficit have ballooned to every year. It is this huge liquidity glut that is supporting US Government’s debt spending, US consumers' borrow and spend frenzy, huge borrowings of private equity firms and other M&A activities, enormous borrowings of hedge funds and so on. It is no wonder that the prolonged Fed tightening has lost its punch and takes so long to affect the home mortgage market. CK - June 16, 2007. 
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